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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
Fecha : |
28/03/2016 |
Actualizado : |
24/09/2018 |
Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
Autor : |
BASSU, S.; BRISSON, N.; DURAND, J.L.; BOOTE, K.; LIZASO, J.; JONES, J.W.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; ADAM, M.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; CONIJN, S.; CORBEELS, M.L; DERYNG, D.; SANTIS, G. DE; GAYLER, S.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.; HOEK, S.; IZAURRALDE, C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.; KEMANIAN, A.R.; KERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.; KUMAR, N.; MAKOWSKI, D.; MÜLLER, C.; NENDEL, C.; PRIESACK, E.; PRAVIA, V.; SAU, F.; SHCHERBAK, I.; TAO, F.; TEXEIRA, E.; TIMLIN, D.; WAHA, K. |
Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; Department of Plant Science, The Pennsylvania State University, USA. |
Título : |
How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? |
Fecha de publicación : |
2014 |
Fuente / Imprenta : |
Global Change Biology, 2014, v.20(7), p. 2301-2320. |
DOI : |
10.1111/gcb.12520 |
Idioma : |
Inglés |
Notas : |
Article history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. |
Contenido : |
Abstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. MenosAbstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2]... Presentar Todo |
Palabras claves : |
AGMIP; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE; CO2; GRAIN YIELD; MAIZE; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON; MODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SIMULATION MODELS; TEMPERATURE. |
Thesagro : |
CLIMA; DIOXIDO DE CARBONO; INCERTIDUMBRE; MAÍZ; MODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN; TEMPERATURA. |
Asunto categoría : |
U10 Métodos matemáticos y estadísticos |
Marc : |
LEADER 03684naa a2200769 a 4500 001 1054517 005 2018-09-24 008 2014 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 024 7 $a10.1111/gcb.12520$2DOI 100 1 $aBASSU, S. 245 $aHow do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?$h[electronic resource] 260 $c2014 500 $aArticle history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. 520 $aAbstract: Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania). While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. 650 $aCLIMA 650 $aDIOXIDO DE CARBONO 650 $aINCERTIDUMBRE 650 $aMAÍZ 650 $aMODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN 650 $aTEMPERATURA 653 $aAGMIP 653 $aCARBON DIOXIDE 653 $aCLIMATE 653 $aCO2 653 $aGRAIN YIELD 653 $aMAIZE 653 $aMODEL INTERCOMPARISON 653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS 653 $aSIMULATION MODELS 653 $aTEMPERATURE 700 1 $aBRISSON, N. 700 1 $aDURAND, J.L. 700 1 $aBOOTE, K. 700 1 $aLIZASO, J. 700 1 $aJONES, J.W. 700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C. 700 1 $aRUANE, A.C. 700 1 $aADAM, M. 700 1 $aBARON, C. 700 1 $aBASSO, B. 700 1 $aBIERNATH, C. 700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H. 700 1 $aCONIJN, S. 700 1 $aCORBEELS, M.L 700 1 $aDERYNG, D. 700 1 $aSANTIS, G. DE 700 1 $aGAYLER, S. 700 1 $aGRASSINI, P. 700 1 $aHATFIELD, J. 700 1 $aHOEK, S. 700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, C. 700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R. 700 1 $aKEMANIAN, A.R. 700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H. 700 1 $aKUMAR, N. 700 1 $aMAKOWSKI, D. 700 1 $aMÜLLER, C. 700 1 $aNENDEL, C. 700 1 $aPRIESACK, E. 700 1 $aPRAVIA, V. 700 1 $aSAU, F. 700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I. 700 1 $aTAO, F. 700 1 $aTEXEIRA, E. 700 1 $aTIMLIN, D. 700 1 $aWAHA, K. 773 $tGlobal Change Biology, 2014$gv.20(7), p. 2301-2320.
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Registros recuperados : 6 | |
1. | | RUGGIA, A.; DOGLIOTTI, S.; AGUERRE, V.; ALBICETTE, M.M.; ALBÍN, A.; BLUMETTO, O.; CARDOZO, G.; LEONI, C.; QUINTANS, G.; SCARLATO, S.; TITTONELL, P.; ROSSING, W. A.H. The application of ecologically intensive principles to the systemic redesign of livestock farms on native grasslands: A case of co-innovation in Rocha, Uruguay. Agricultural Systems, June 2021, Volume 191, Article 103148. OPEN ACCESS. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103148 Article history: Received 30 November 2020; Received in revised form 5 April 2021; Accepted 6 April 2021.
Editor: Guillaume Martin.
The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license...Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales | Circulación / Nivel : Internacional - -- |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas; INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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2. | | ARISTIDE, P.; CITTADINI, E.; BLUMETTO, O.; GIOBELLINA, B.; LEDESMA, S.; OVALLE, C.; MARCHAO, R.; CABALLERO, P.J.; OSMAN, A.; TITTONELL, P. Variables claves para la evaluación de la sustentabilidad de los sistemas agropecuarios. Hacia un sistema de indicadores de intensificación sostenible en el Cono Sur. Montevideo (UY) : PROCISUR, 2020. 22 p. (Procisur, Documentos) Grupo de Trabajo: Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA) de Argentina; Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuaria (EMBRAPA); Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias (INIA) de Chile; Instituto Paraguayo de Tecnología...Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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3. | | RUGGIA, A.; ALBICETTE, M.M.; ALBÍN, A.; BLUMETTO, O.; CARDOZO, G.; DOGLIOTTI, S.; SCARLATO, S.; TITTONELL, P.; ROSSING, W. A. H.; AGUERRE, V. Improving sustainability in livestock family farm systems based on natural grasslands in Uruguay implementing a co-innovation process. [Conference paper]. In: Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium for Farming Systems Design (FSD6). "Agricultural systems designs sustained by nature". Montevideo, Uruguay, 24 to 29 March, 2019. 3 p.Tipo: Trabajos en Congresos/Conferencias |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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4. | | TITTONELL, P.; KLERKX, L.; BAUDRON, F.; FÉLIX, G.F.; RUGGIA, A.; VAN APELDOORN, D.; DOGLIOTTI, S.; MAPFUMO, P.; ROSSING, W.A.H. Ecological intensification: local innovation to address global challenges. In: Lichtfouse, Eric (Ed.). Sustainable Agriculture Reviews: volume 19. Springer, 2016, Chap.1, pp.1-34.Tipo: Capítulo en Libro Técnico-Científico |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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Registros recuperados : 6 | |
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